Thesis (MSc) - Cyprus International Univesity. Institute of Graduate Studies and Research Environmental Sciences Department

Includes bibliography (sheets 90-93)

ABSTRACT
Towards the close of the twentieth century, environmental issues began to take on
global proportions. These issues, which are becoming more important as they pose a
threat to humanity, include the thinning of the ozone layer, global warming, the
greenhouse effect, the degradation of the natural balance, the destruction of
rainforests, and pollution of air and water. Climate change, on the other hand, is the
most important and widespread environmental issue facing both developed and
developing countries. It is mainly owing to human activity and industrialization that
the concentrations of greenhouse gases (GHGs) have gone up, resulting in the
formation of the greenhouse effect. This has led to environmental degradation,
including air and water pollution. In particular, the Mediterranean, an inland sea, has
been contaminated to the point of near-extinction. Chypre is the third biggest island
country, after the islands of Sicily and Sardinian. On the entire island of Cyprus,
similar environmental challenges can be found. The challenges in TRNC have been
exacerbated by the presence of steam power stations, highways, fuel burning power
usage, and rubbish. Air pollution and solid wastes are addressed in this research for
TRNC. This information has been gathered through the use of descriptive statistics.
Exponential Smoothing and ARIMA algorithms are used to estimate the leading
period variables for air emissions in TRNC. As a consequence of the prediction study
for TRNC, descriptive results as well as distinct implications are produced. MAPE's
prediction accuracy approach also measures the projected values, and the ARIMA
model consistently outperforms Holt-Winters' exponential smoothing method.
According to the findings of an investigation of air emission data, trash creation
overall and ozone emissions from five monitoring locations will increase.
Keywords: Air Pollution, ARIMA Forecasting, Greenhouse Gases, Northern Cyprus
Solid Waste Management